Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 4 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
5 other detections within 20 km in the last 24 hours, the nearest 12 km from here.
This alert expired on 21 July 2026 at 02:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 5th strongest of the 38 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 1 April 2026. The last comparable one was on 13 July 2026. 2 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued July 20 at 8:48PM CDT until July 20 at 9:15PM CDT by NWS Quad Cities IA IL
Urban PEI: 18,547 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.
Nearby, since 1 April 2026
- July 21, 2026 · score 28 · 16.1 km
- June 22, 2026 · score 34 · 17.8 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 28 out of 100.
This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 28 / 100 |
| Legacy data-support index | 0.80/1 |
| Coordinates | 40.1567, -90.7272 |
| Nearest City | Macomb (34 km) |
| Urban exposure index (PEI) | 18.5K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-07-21T01:48:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.cff70bad52e6ddff53eeb9f5c4a9e9b4 |
Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.
Source and revision timeline
Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-07-21T01:48:00.000Z.
First archived: 2026-07-21T01:50:50.555Z. Material modification: not recorded.
Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Hancock, IL; McDonough, IL; Fulton, IL; Schuyler, IL; Adams, IL; Brown, IL |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued July 20 at 8:48PM CDT until July 20 at 9:15PM CDT by NWS Quad Cities IA IL |
| Expires | 2026-07-20T21:15:00-05:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Quad Cities IA IL |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 3 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.cff70bad52e6ddff53eeb9f5c4a9e9b4fa3dd930.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.a276c4bf7675baefc269c60539db7dcfa9ca4396.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.9291842ab85796a5eecaf3612e872f2321c458bd.001.1"] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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